The hottest new model paper industry will give a b

2022-10-24
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The new model paper industry will give gifts in the future

the integration of forest and paper will make the papermaking forest green in the north and south of the river, and the paper industry equipment will also become a bulk mechanical and electrical products and export strength

the planning structure of China's paper industry development strategy is complex and periodic. According to the idea of planning to the "wood based" raw material route strategy, it should be determined by the multiple of the average cutting period of its industrial forest. Since the large-scale cultivation of paper industry forests in China has not yet started, in the early stage of strategic planning, in order to quickly change the structure of raw materials, the scale of afforestation and the proportion of afforestation investment must be large. From the perspective of the predicted demand for paper, China's growth in the next few decades will be fast and stable, and its curve can be approximately regarded as a straight line extending to the right and up, which segment is the strategic rule cycle has no substantive significance. Therefore, the strategic planning cycle should be set as two stages, that is, the first stage is before 2015, and the second stage is from 2015 to 2030. The first stage includes about two years of preparation and the transition to the new strategy. Considering the large climate difference between South and North China, the growth period difference of different tree species required for papermaking and many other factors, the 7-year cycle is likely to be an average value closer to the actual situation, and it has a more realistic guiding role in calculating investment and planning forest land in the first two cycles of strategic planning

Experts believe that the strategic planning objectives for the development of China's paper industry should reflect the following characteristics:

it should express the nature of the national strategy, that is, it must express the national interests, the national will, and the overall strategic choice for the long-term development of the country

it is a strategic choice made in the face of the open economic environment, especially in the face of the rapid trend of global economic integration

it is a goal system composed of multi-level and multi-faceted goals. According to this standard, we can see that the medium and long-term passive needle in the paper industry cannot be well planned and planned at any position, which is not only obviously characterized by the traditional planned economy, but also difficult to be regarded as a strategy. Because it does not reflect the process and results of strategic choice from a strategic perspective

most are self-sufficient and some are imported. According to the analysis of China's paper industry demand forecast, according to a conservative caliber, the time when China's domestic paper demand reaches 100 million tons may be postponed to 2015. Most of them are self-sufficient. For example, 80% of them are self-sufficient. The time when the domestic paper demand reaches 100 million tons may be postponed to 2015. Most of them are self-sufficient, such as 80% self-sufficient, medium and low-grade paper self-sufficient, some high-grade paper self-sufficient, and others rely on imports. Deep level planning indicators involve the interrelationship between the import dependence of wood pulp and waste paper and the import dependence of paperboard and paper, the mutual substitution of wood chip exports (currently mainly to Japan and South Korea) and wood pulp and paperboard exports, as well as the self-sufficiency and import of pulping, papermaking and pollution control equipment

according to the strategic goal of becoming a strong paper producer and exporter, the production capacity of China's paper industry should reach 150 million tons around 2015; In 2030, our tested production capacity should reach 250 million tons or even more than 300 million tons. At that time, China will retain hundreds of millions of acres of paper industrial forests, together with other industrial forests, ecological forests, economic forests and firewood forests. All the land suitable for forestry in southern China will be covered by trees, and the landscape and ecology of quite large areas in the central, northern and Western China will also be greatly improved. China's paper equipment should become a bulk product and export strength product of the electromechanical industry, and several Chinese paper companies should rank among the top in the world. These companies not only have strong forestry bases in China, such as medical rubber glove samples and production bases, but also have a considerable scale of industrial forest resources and production and sales networks abroad. They are truly giant multinational companies

the guiding ideology of China's paper industry development strategy is to start from scratch, put it in place in one step, reshape the paper industry with forward-looking world modernization standards, that is, international competitiveness standards, and strive to achieve the strategic goal of becoming a big and powerful country in the world paper industry within a strategic planning cycle. The two reshaped support points are actually completely connected. One is to immediately start the strategic shift towards the "integration of forestry and paper", and the other is to immediately start to establish several giant group companies of China's forestry + paper industry. In the future, the almost astronomical investment of China's paper industry can only be raised from domestic and foreign capital markets, but in the initial stage, the state needs to give sufficient support. The real support of strategy lies in the confidence and determination to implement strategic decisions

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